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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

MERTHYR TOWN vs. NEWPORT COUNTY
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Merthyr Town's and Newport County's ELO scores.


  Merthyr Town   Newport County  
  Current ELO Score: 2954.1   3443.2  
  Best ELO Score: 3670  
Saturday, September 3, 1921  
3779.8  
Monday, April 4, 1983  
  Worst ELO Score: 2756.2  
Saturday, February 19, 2022  
2980.4  
Saturday, January 7, 2006  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Merthyr Town and Newport County.

 Venue Played Merthyr Town
wins
Draws Newport County
wins
Merthyr Town
goals
Newport County
goals
Merthyr Town
SR%
Newport County
SR%
 TOTAL 22 9 4 9 40 47 50.0% 50.0%
 HOME 11 7 1 3 24 13 68.2% 31.8%
 AWAY 11 2 3 6 16 34 31.8% 68.2%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
3 MAY 1930 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3385)  
5 - 1   Newport County
  (3550)
20.6
10 APR 1930 LGE Newport County  
(3532)  
10 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3369)
8.2
6 APR 1929 LGE Newport County  
(3567)  
6 - 1   Merthyr Town
  (3481)
9
12 JAN 1929 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3462)  
2 - 1   Newport County
  (3500)
7.4
11 FEB 1928 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3519)  
0 - 2   Newport County
  (3610)
16.6
1 OCT 1927 LGE Newport County  
(3613)  
1 - 1   Merthyr Town
  (3552)
5
22 JAN 1927 LGE Newport County  
(3640)  
4 - 3   Merthyr Town
  (3553)
4.5
4 SEP 1926 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3564)  
1 - 2   Newport County
  (3627)
11.8
26 DEC 1925 LGE Newport County  
(3597)  
3 - 1   Merthyr Town
  (3547)
8.1
25 DEC 1925 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3532)  
4 - 1   Newport County
  (3613)
15.5
2 MAY 1925 LGE Newport County  
(3699)  
3 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3457)
3.9
29 SEP 1924 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3573)  
1 - 0   Newport County
  (3642)
8.6
26 DEC 1923 LGE Newport County  
(3563)  
4 - 4   Merthyr Town
  (3563)
3.2
25 DEC 1923 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3566)  
3 - 3   Newport County
  (3559)
3.4
28 OCT 1922 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3639)  
1 - 0   Newport County
  (3550)
4.7
21 OCT 1922 LGE Newport County  
(3551)  
1 - 1   Merthyr Town
  (3638)
0.8
12 NOV 1921 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3638)  
2 - 1   Newport County
  (3606)
6
5 NOV 1921 LGE Newport County  
(3626)  
0 - 2   Merthyr Town
  (3618)
20.1
28 MAR 1921 LGE Merthyr Town  
(3644)  
1 - 2   Newport County
  (3573)
14.9
25 MAR 1921 LGE Newport County  
(3599)  
0 - 3   Merthyr Town
  (3634)
21.5
24 JAN 1920 SL Newport County  
(3570)  
2 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (3604)
11.4
13 SEP 1919 SL Merthyr Town  
(3554)  
4 - 0   Newport County
  (3551)
12.4